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0xe1d6b515…

0xe1d6b51521bd4365769199f392f9818661bd907c

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 80% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 80%Verified PnL#222 of 1130
Beats 21%Win rate#730 of 928
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#617 of 954

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board21
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-03-26
Last seen2026-05-03
VerdictOverstated

At a glance

$285K

Verified lifetime PnL

$77.87MVolume
51%Win rate (sample) · n=400
0.37%PnL ÷ Volume
2026-03 2026-05

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$285.3K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $347only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$40.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$2
0.37% ROI39.3% Win rate · n=519

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleLooks stoppedLast trade 183 days agoShort-cycle specialist100% of last 500 fills (over 8 h) are 5/15-min or hourly marketsMostly taker82% of last 500 fills (over 8 h) paid a taker feeHolds to settlementSells are only 8% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 8 h)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Crypto -$10.7K

Crypto400 pos.-$10.7K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$17.9KBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11AM ETCrypto · Down / Up
  2. +$9,511Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10AM ETCrypto · Up / Down
  3. +$9,227Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 12PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. +$7,387Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETCrypto · Down
  5. +$7,235Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ETCrypto · Up

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$12.2KBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11AM ETCrypto · Up
  2. -$9,639Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Up
  3. -$9,418Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8PM ETCrypto · Down
  4. -$9,202Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ETCrypto · Down / Up
  5. -$7,995Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETCrypto · Up

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 119 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$7,617). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

$285KVerified lifetime PnL
$109KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$395KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-03 3 $88K
2026-04 17 $304K
2026-05 1 $3K

Which boards

Crypto 21

Method breakdown

Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen

Measured layers

visible rebate $41K (100% maker / 0% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$41K
Maker rebate$41K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-25 → 2026-05-05

Profit composition

Net negative (window)

Trade cash$0
Rebate$0
Net total$0
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04

Verification check

Overstated

Board-day sum$395K
Verified lifetime PnL$285K
Verification gap-$109K

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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)