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0xe1f039b631879e1fbe3742120a58f3c131f625d2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 27% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 27%Verified PnL#453 of 624
Beats 46%30-day PnL#316 of 594
Beats 0%Win rate#589 of 592
Beats 32%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#419 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-21
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$7K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.40MVolume
12.5%Win rate (sample) · n=399
0.34%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$7,391
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $798only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$4partial
Liquidity rewards$0
0.53% ROI8.91% Win rate · n=561
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$15.3K · loses the most in Sports -$107
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,860Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,187Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,186Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,181Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Culture · Yes
- +$1,144Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$222Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$175Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$165Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$162Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$149Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Culture · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$7KVerified lifetime PnL
$1KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$6KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $208 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $783 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $3K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $3K |
Which boards
Culture 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
32% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $4 (34% maker / 66% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly aggressive
Passive ratio32%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-08
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$4
Maker rebate$2
Taker rebate$3
Maker share34%
Taker share66%
Window2026-08-20 → 2026-10-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$6K
Verified lifetime PnL$7K
Verification gap$1K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)