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← All boardsElposton
0xe228f29215f2a0e9b5a5f57a0974063e23401f4c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#549 of 624
Beats 19%30-day PnL#480 of 594
Beats 1%Win rate#586 of 592
Beats 12%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#542 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board7
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-08-25
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$17K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.25MVolume
15%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.40%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$16.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,134only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$196partial
Liquidity rewards$0
-0.39% ROI12% Win rate · n=500
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$2,917 · loses the most in Finance -$8,361
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,241Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Finance · No / Yes
- +$2,129Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least $24M?Culture · Yes
- +$2,066Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?Crypto · No
- +$1,423Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?Crypto · Yes
- +$1,265Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 20?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,346Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$1,703Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$1,005Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance · No
- -$878Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?Finance · Yes
- -$765Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Finance · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$17KVerified lifetime PnL
$19KBelow board-day sum
7Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $235 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $106 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $281 |
Which boards
Crypto 4Culture 2Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
0% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $196 (3% maker / 97% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio0%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-11
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$196
Maker rebate$6
Taker rebate$190
Maker share3%
Taker share97%
Window2026-06-03 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$17K
Verification gap-$19K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)