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0xe392d6cc6a012f306cef646f79114eb6f351c023
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 32% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 32%Verified PnL#420 of 624
Beats 71%30-day PnL#168 of 594
Beats 89%Win rate#61 of 592
Beats 10%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#553 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board35
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-24
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$15K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.41MVolume
91.4%Win rate · n=337
-0.67%PnL ÷ Volume
$8K7-day PnL
$32K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$14.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,840only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,439partial
Liquidity rewards$126
0.62% ROI46.7% Win rate · n=660
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$161.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$16.3KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?Crypto · Yes
- +$12.3KWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 23?Crypto · No
- +$8,984Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Finance · Yes
- +$8,271Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?Crypto · No
- +$7,582Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$700Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?Crypto · Yes
- -$631Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$357Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Sports · Under
- -$348Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5Sports · Under
- -$230Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$15KVerified lifetime PnL
$30KBelow board-day sum
35Days on board
$45KBoard-day sum
$8K7-day PnL
$32K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $888 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 19 | $23K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $16K |
Which boards
Crypto 23Finance 15Sports 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
65% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (72% maker / 28% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio65%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$678
Maker share72%
Taker share28%
Window2026-06-24 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$45K
Verified lifetime PnL$15K
Verification gap-$30K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)