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0xe3e4bded348f8608f322a598c19dbb3c42878d04
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 30% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 30%Verified PnL#431 of 624
Beats 50%30-day PnL#292 of 594
Beats 14%Win rate#505 of 592
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#401 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board33
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.03MVolume
43.4%Win rate (sample) · n=396
0.44%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.4K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $400only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$325partial
Liquidity rewards$674
0.56% ROI41.4% Win rate · n=415
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$16.3K · loses the most in Sports -$5,313
Top 5 winning markets
- +$10.7KWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$6,934Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Politics · No
- +$2,263Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$2,035Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $430B on January 31?Finance · No
- +$1,735Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,790Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · No
- -$2,253US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- -$2,075Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Finance · No
- -$1,022Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?Politics · Dan
- -$935Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$5KEarned off the board
33Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$6K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $525 |
| 2026-05 | 1 | $15 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $370 |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $4K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $178 |
Which boards
Finance 21Crypto 6Politics 3Tech 2Sports 1Culture 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
94% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $325 (96% maker / 4% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio94%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$325
Maker rebate$313
Taker rebate$11
Maker share96%
Taker share4%
Window2026-02-08 → 2026-10-26
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$11K
Verification gap$5K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)