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hfrozendancer
0xe419ed7a60b7cd0faac6bd55c59084f3b81e8aed
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#985 of 1130
Beats 59%30-day PnL#325 of 810
Beats 55%Win rate#414 of 928
Beats 10%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#858 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board10
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-08-21
Last seen2026-09-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$23K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.82MVolume
68.4%Win rate (sample) · n=396
-0.85%PnL ÷ Volume
$9K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$23.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $82only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$6,040partial
Liquidity rewards$53
-0.81% ROI38.3% Win rate · n=896
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$16.2K · loses the most in Weather -$138
Top 5 winning markets
- +$6,074Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Sports · Over
- +$2,782Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-28?Sports · No
- +$1,547Exact Score: FC Groningen 2 - 3 Fortuna Sittard?Sports · Yes
- +$1,337Will Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$806Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$584Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$551AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5Sports · Over
- -$547Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Up
- -$443Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-28?Sports · No
- -$441Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETCrypto · Down
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2999+ losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$23.1K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$23KVerified lifetime PnL
$25KBelow board-day sum
10Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$9K7-day PnL
$12K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 4 | $737 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $865 |
Which boards
Crypto 8Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $6K (16% maker / 84% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$6K
Maker rebate$963
Taker rebate$5K
Maker share16%
Taker share84%
Window2026-07-25 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL-$23K
Verification gap-$25K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)