ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
0xe41adddf…
0xe41adddfd269f811c8dc173237ed8c4f213d29bd
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$245
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$460 · loses the most in Politics -$4,724
Top 5 winning markets
- +$332Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- +$269Will Robert Ritz win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?Politics · Yes
- +$229Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$229Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- +$217Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,800Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,800Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Politics · No
- -$1,687Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Politics · Yes / No
- -$910Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Politics · No
- -$869Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Covers all 146 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 3 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$3,601). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $84 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $122 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)