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TheRealWarMonger
0xe472ce6be1fb4673d6155de37e414ead8bace7eb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 10% of the 1156 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1156 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$48K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-05
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$6,248 · loses the most in Sports -$27.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$11.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$11.5KWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?Politics · No
- +$9,174Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$8,552Fed rate hike in 2026?Finance · Yes
- +$6,009Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Politics · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$53.9KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$22.3KStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Politics · Yes
- -$21.5KWill Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Sports · Yes
- -$15.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$5,840Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 2 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1,243). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-05
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $10K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $4K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $298 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $82 |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-05 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-05 (207 snapshots)