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← All boardsCalculatedRisk08
0xe937357d6b851c08f258fc0b325fd71dfb06d46a
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 32% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 32%Verified PnL#421 of 624
Beats 39%30-day PnL#359 of 594
Beats 10%Win rate#528 of 592
Beats 83%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#101 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-29
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$15K
Verified lifetime PnL
$497KVolume
38.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.83%PnL ÷ Volume
$9857-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$14.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $452only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$60partial
Liquidity rewards$66
2.94% ROI38% Win rate · n=403
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$14.7K · loses the most in Sports -$1,433
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,733Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$1,309Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?Politics · Yes
- +$1,265Will the US strike Somalia next?Politics · Yes
- +$1,156Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?Politics · No
- +$1,132Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,023Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?Politics · Yes
- -$666Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Sports · Over
- -$544Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?Weather · No
- -$354Le Mans FC vs. Pau FC: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
- -$351Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$15KVerified lifetime PnL
$14KEarned off the board
8Days on board
$381Board-day sum
$9857-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $79 |
| 2026-06 | 2 | $162 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $139 |
Which boards
Finance 3Sports 2Weather 1Politics 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $60 (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-10-11
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$60
Maker rebate$56
Taker rebate$4
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-02-17 → 2026-10-24
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$381
Verified lifetime PnL$15K
Verification gap$14K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)