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0xe9ce3189cc3fa8b767c2b9ebf2a564887cd19811
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 625 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#371 of 625
Beats 33%30-day PnL#345 of 519
Beats 85%Win rate#81 of 566
Beats 82%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#104 of 592
Compared with the 625 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span201 days
First seen2026-05-03
Last seen2026-08-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$27K
Verified lifetime PnL
$956KVolume
86%Win rate · n=250
2.78%PnL ÷ Volume
$8007-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-30
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$26.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $25only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$183partial
Liquidity rewards$160
2.78% ROI79.3% Win rate · n=271
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$34.9K · loses the most in Other -$6,686
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,414Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?Culture · No
- +$1,318Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Culture · Yes
- +$1,120Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Culture · Yes
- +$1,091Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?Culture · No
- +$1,022Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$8,209Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1Other · No / Yes
- -$1,682Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?Culture · Yes
- -$978Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?Culture · No
- -$868Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?Culture · Yes
- -$740Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m?Culture · No
Covers the 250 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-30
$27KVerified lifetime PnL
$22KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$8007-day PnL
$1K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 4 | $990 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $843 |
| 2026-07 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $598 |
Which boards
Culture 15
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $183 (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$183
Maker rebate$171
Taker rebate$13
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-04-04 → 2026-10-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$27K
Verification gap$22K
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Archived 2026-10-30 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-30 (201 snapshots)