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starbuck02
0xea7957606f259bcba522a4681494555547a7a9cc
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 3% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 3%Verified PnL#1085 of 1130
Beats 26%30-day PnL#596 of 810
Beats 61%Win rate#355 of 928
Beats 4%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#914 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board45
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-01
Last seen2026-08-26
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$278K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.42MVolume
71.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.93%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2K7-day PnL
-$230-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$277.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10.9Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,846partial
Liquidity rewards$1,069
-1.93% ROI62.5% Win rate · n=459
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$214.6K · loses the most in Sports -$21.8K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$54.3KCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio PlayoffsSports · Spirit
- +$48.2KCounter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group ASports · Vitality
- +$39.8KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Politics · No
- +$34.3KWill Germany win on 2026-06-20?Sports · Yes
- +$33.4KBills vs. ChiefsSports · Chiefs
Top 5 losing markets
- -$64.1KSeahawks vs. PatriotsSports · Patriots
- -$62.6KRavens vs. BillsSports · Ravens
- -$51.2KWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?Sports · Yes
- -$34.0KCommanders vs. EaglesSports · Commanders
- -$33.2KUS x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 58 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$702.7K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$278KVerified lifetime PnL
$423KBelow board-day sum
45Days on board
$145KBoard-day sum
-$2K7-day PnL
-$230-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 11 | $127K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $8K |
| 2026-06 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $7K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $518 |
Which boards
Politics 34Finance 10Sports 4Mentions 2Tech 2Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $2K (93% maker / 7% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$121
Maker share93%
Taker share7%
Window2026-02-05 → 2026-07-09
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$145K
Verified lifetime PnL-$278K
Verification gap-$423K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)