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0xecb98ff2542d9c57ec36aa3ecad3734b9e295a12
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 43% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 43%Verified PnL#356 of 624
Beats 87%30-day PnL#74 of 594
Beats 59%Win rate#241 of 592
Beats 96%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#21 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$34K
Verified lifetime PnL
$438KVolume
69%Win rate · n=58
7.87%PnL ÷ Volume
$174K7-day PnL
$175K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$34.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$12partial
Liquidity rewards$18
7.87% ROI63.5% Win rate · n=63
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$20.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.6KWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?Sports · No
- +$8,659Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Culture · No
- +$6,300Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?Sports · No
- +$6,000Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · No
- +$2,895Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$14.4KWill Aston Villa win on 2025-09-28?Sports · No
- -$2,360Will Brighton win on 2025-09-27?Sports · No
- -$801Will Monaco vs. Manchester City end in a draw?Sports · No
- -$614Will $Trump FDV be $15b or more on inauguration day?Crypto · No
- -$255Arsenal wins the Premier League?Sports · Yes
Covers all 68 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$34KVerified lifetime PnL
$31KEarned off the board
26Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$174K7-day PnL
$175K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $184 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $735 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $650 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $577 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $270 |
Which boards
Finance 14Sports 8Politics 6
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
39% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $12 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio39%
Fills measured192
Window ends2026-05-30
Window scope497 days
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$12
Maker rebate$12
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-05-31 → 2026-05-31
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$34K
Verification gap$31K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)