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← All boardsBigMike11
0xecdbd79566a25693b9971c48d7de84bc05f7da79
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 72% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 72%Verified PnL#173 of 624
Beats 26%30-day PnL#437 of 594
Beats 31%Win rate#407 of 592
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#440 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-08-02
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$257K
Verified lifetime PnL
$117.86MVolume
53.4%Win rate (sample) · n=388
0.22%PnL ÷ Volume
-$787-day PnL
-$16330-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$256.5K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $7only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2partial
Liquidity rewards$125.8K
0.22% ROI53.3% Win rate · n=388
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$172.4K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$397.5KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes / No
- +$93.5KWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$66.3KKamala Harris wins the popular vote?Politics · Yes / No
- +$66.0KWill JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Politics · Yes / No
- +$58.8KWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$46.2KWill Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes
- -$43.4KTrump and Biden both win nomination?Politics · No / Yes
- -$43.3KWill Dean Phillips win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes / No
- -$41.8KWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes / No
- -$37.9KWill someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Politics · Yes / No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$257KVerified lifetime PnL
$252KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$787-day PnL
-$16330-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $410 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $828 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 15
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
90% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio90%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-22
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2
Maker rebate$2
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-07-27 → 2026-08-17
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$257K
Verification gap$252K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)