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0xed7802a482184e0346d72192d79f7769722b4ab0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 19% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 19%Verified PnL#500 of 624
Beats 28%30-day PnL#424 of 594
Beats 8%Win rate#542 of 592
Beats 75%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#150 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board9
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-25
Last seen2026-08-27
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$296
Verified lifetime PnL
$14KVolume
35.7%Win rate · n=28
2.18%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$830-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$296
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $34only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$0
2.18% ROI35.7% Win rate · n=28
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$562 · loses the most in Politics -$310
Top 5 winning markets
- +$591Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Tech & science · Yes
- +$22.09Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$21.48Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?Finance · Yes
- +$16.47EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
- +$8.34Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$124US x China tariff agreement by May 31?Politics · Yes
- -$82.15US x China tariff agreement by June 30?Politics · Yes
- -$48.45Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$34.6Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Politics · Yes
- -$33.05Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Politics · Yes
Covers all 28 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$296Verified lifetime PnL
$566Below board-day sum
9Days on board
$862Board-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$830-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $110 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $81 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $510 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $161 |
Which boards
Finance 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
4% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio4%
Fills measured76
Window ends2026-09-10
Window scope164 days
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$862
Verified lifetime PnL$296
Verification gap-$566
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)