ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
rocky42018
0xeda045f91a24d199f78ef1f591fbbe6a5b517dff
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 12% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 12%Verified PnL#992 of 1130
Beats 44%30-day PnL#452 of 810
Beats 22%Win rate#718 of 928
Beats 15%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#807 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board30
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-11-03
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$26K
Verified lifetime PnL
$9.90MVolume
51.6%Win rate (sample) · n=397
-0.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$26.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $6only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$3,935partial
Liquidity rewards$6,412partial
-0.26% ROI50.1% Win rate · n=439
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$21.3K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$1,459Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Sports · Under
- +$1,355Will AC Monza win on 2026-01-17?Sports · No
- +$1,248Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?Sports · No
- +$1,236LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Group StageSports · Cloud9
- +$1,200Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Gauff (+1.5)Sports · Gauff
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,582ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-AliassimeSports · Auger-Aliassime / Shelton
- -$937Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run in 2025?Politics · Yes / No
- -$677Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?Sports · No
- -$643Al Hilal vs. Pachuca: 4+ Goals Scored?Sports · Yes
- -$572Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-22?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 25 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$323). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
-$26KVerified lifetime PnL
$30KBelow board-day sum
30Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $972 |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $981 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $731 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $347 |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $391 |
| 2026-09 | 4 | $312 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $211 |
Which boards
Sports 17Tech 4Weather 4Politics 3Finance 2Mentions 1Culture 1Crypto 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $4K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$4K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$2
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-03-22 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$26K
Verification gap-$30K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)