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0xedfbf97dee28c8600797959a1289648483b23c1c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 13% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 13%Verified PnL#541 of 624
Beats 15%30-day PnL#502 of 594
Beats 78%Win rate#130 of 592
Beats 1%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#612 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board8
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-09-02
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$10K
Verified lifetime PnL
$201KVolume
81.2%Win rate · n=122
-4.91%PnL ÷ Volume
-$947-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$9,929
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $812only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$127partial
Liquidity rewards$56
-4.94% ROI45.8% Win rate · n=216
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$6,348 · loses the most in Politics -$37.5
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,512Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$2,617Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$1,699Will any other model be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$858Will the next Mythos-Class model debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$629Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$924Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$919Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$816Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$725Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?Tech & science · No
- -$204Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETCrypto · Down
Covers all 122 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$10KVerified lifetime PnL
$13KBelow board-day sum
8Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
-$947-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $790 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $790 |
Which boards
Tech 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $127 (43% maker / 57% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$127
Maker rebate$54
Taker rebate$73
Maker share43%
Taker share57%
Window2026-08-28 → 2026-10-19
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL-$10K
Verification gap-$13K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)