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topdaddy1
0xf02008dd334fe83c8dad61dd9a54776d7fb03212
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 78% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 78%Verified PnL#245 of 1130
Beats 7%30-day PnL#750 of 810
Beats 59%Win rate#379 of 928
Beats 95%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#46 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-06
Last seen2026-07-26
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$245K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.14MVolume
70%Win rate · n=30
7.80%PnL ÷ Volume
-$35K7-day PnL
-$35K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$244.9K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $10.7Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,996partial
Liquidity rewards$450
7.80% ROI70% Win rate · n=30
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$172.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$145.9KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$49.6KWill Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?Sports · Yes
- +$33.8KWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Yes
- +$31.8KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Finance · No
- +$28.8KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$39.8KWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?Sports · Yes
- -$18.6KSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?Finance · No
- -$16.4KWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Sports · Yes
- -$14.9KWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Finance · No
- -$9,546SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Finance · Yes / No
Covers all 30 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$245KVerified lifetime PnL
$211KEarned off the board
18Days on board
$34KBoard-day sum
-$35K7-day PnL
-$35K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 15 | $31K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $3K |
Which boards
Politics 11Finance 6Sports 4
Method breakdown
Execution stylenot measured yet
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
visible rebate $2K (40% maker / 60% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$793
Taker rebate$1K
Maker share40%
Taker share60%
Window2026-06-06 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$34K
Verified lifetime PnL$245K
Verification gap$211K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)