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0xf0637528f0fa1c4634714e370447d7b4638c7893
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 23% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 23%Verified PnL#479 of 624
Beats 41%30-day PnL#348 of 594
Beats 76%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#149 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board23
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-28
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$60KVolume
100%Win rate · n=2
2.22%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,934
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $192only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$28partial
Liquidity rewards$0
4.88% ROI— Win rate · n=9
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$183
Top 5 winning markets
- +$183Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 6?Weather · Yes
- +$23.07New pandemic in 2026?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
No losing market in the sample.
Covers all 2 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KBelow board-day sum
23Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $448 |
| 2026-05 | 4 | $820 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $174 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Weather 23
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
32% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $28 (64% maker / 36% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio32%
Fills measured74
Window ends2026-10-06
Window scope418 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$28
Maker rebate$18
Taker rebate$10
Maker share64%
Taker share36%
Window2026-09-28 → 2026-10-02
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap-$6K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)