ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

0xf12f7688…

0xf12f7688a0bc8cc744ef871f70b74c16a976b30f

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 11% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 11%Verified PnL#1001 of 1130

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board18
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-06-23
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$29K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-06 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$29.0K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $27.4Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly taker100% of last 500 fills (over 31.8 days) paid a taker feeMid-price trader64% of 427 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports99% of last 500 fills (over 31.8 days) are sports marketsAverages down68% of 60 multi-buy positions added 10%+ below the first priceRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$790.2K

Sports400 pos.+$790.2K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$14.9KNingbo: Yi Zhou vs Jake DelaneySports · Jake Delaney
  2. +$14.6KCali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Valerio AboianSports · Valerio Aboian
  3. +$9,973Buenos Aires 2: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Valerio AboianSports · Valerio Aboian
  4. +$8,927Buenos Aires 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Pedro MartinezSports · Eduardo Ribeiro
  5. +$8,794Cali: Valerio Aboian vs Miguel TobonSports · Valerio Aboian

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$3,621Antofagasta: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Pablo VarillasSports · Juan Pablo Varillas
  2. -$2,041Game Spread: Simakin (-4.5) vs Aguiard (+4.5)Sports · Aguiard
  3. -$1,802US Open ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Tomas EtcheverrySports · Tomas Etcheverry
  4. -$1,697National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Arthur FilsSports · Arthur Fils
  5. -$1,624Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tallon Griekspoor vs Benjamin BonziSports · Benjamin Bonzi / Tallon Griekspoor

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 902 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$1.26M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$29KVerified lifetime PnL
$48KBelow board-day sum
18Days on board
$19KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-06 1 $1K
2026-07 6 $5K
2026-08 6 $5K
2026-09 5 $7K

Which boards

Sports 18All markets 1

Method breakdown

No method layer measured yet for this address.

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$19K
Verified lifetime PnL-$29K
Verification gap-$48K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)