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0xf14ec403ec03d8f5329aed6587252667bcc76173
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 34% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 34%Verified PnL#408 of 624
Beats 59%30-day PnL#239 of 594
Beats 85%Win rate#84 of 592
Beats 82%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#109 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-08-06
Last seen2026-10-10
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$19K
Verified lifetime PnL
$363KVolume
86.4%Win rate · n=110
2.67%PnL ÷ Volume
$5K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$19.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $473only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$281partial
Liquidity rewards$81
5.27% ROI83.3% Win rate · n=114
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$27.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$2,113Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?Culture · No
- +$1,424Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?Culture · No
- +$1,361Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Culture · No
- +$1,320Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?Culture · No
- +$1,293Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Culture · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,131Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?Culture · No
- -$1,402Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
- -$949Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Culture · No
- -$803Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?Culture · No
- -$772Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?Culture · Yes / No
Covers all 144 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$19KVerified lifetime PnL
$6KEarned off the board
14Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$5K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 3 | $194 |
| 2026-09 | 7 | $5K |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $8K |
Which boards
Culture 14
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
81% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $281 (97% maker / 3% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio81%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$281
Maker rebate$272
Taker rebate$9
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-07-22 → 2026-10-23
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$19K
Verification gap$6K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)