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0xf1bb700a67e3e8a45dc8160a92f4e0405f41bf09
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 66% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 66%Verified PnL#211 of 624
Beats 45%Win rate#325 of 592
Beats 90%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#62 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board34
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-11
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$145K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.80MVolume
61.7%Win rate (sample) · n=392
3.82%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$145.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)none seenpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,053
3.82% ROI61.7% Win rate · n=392
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$55.2K · loses the most in Politics -$4,700
Top 5 winning markets
- +$17.4KWill NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)Weather · Yes / No
- +$12.5KWill the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023?Weather · Yes
- +$9,050Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023?Weather · Yes
- +$8,996Will SBF get Adderall in jail?Other · Yes
- +$6,765Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023?Weather · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$9,854Will Uniswap V3 be live on Optimism by June 15, 2021?Other · Yes / No
- -$9,618Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address?Other · No / Yes
- -$9,136[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Politics · No
- -$5,236Will Sweden join NATO by August 31?Politics · No / Yes
- -$2,743Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1?Other · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$145KVerified lifetime PnL
$88KEarned off the board
34Days on board
$57KBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 6 | $10K |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $13K |
| 2026-08 | 14 | $23K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $10K |
Which boards
Politics 12Crypto 8Sports 7Culture 3Weather 2Finance 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
70% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate none in the activity feed
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio70%
Fills measured496
Window ends2025-10-03
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
No visible rebate
Visible rebateNone seen
Window—
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$57K
Verified lifetime PnL$145K
Verification gap$88K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)