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0xf1f9a438f2697381b4ac8eb283d6f4dd772d1245
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 73% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 73%Verified PnL#167 of 624
Beats 76%30-day PnL#141 of 594
Beats 29%Win rate#417 of 592
Beats 67%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#201 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board54
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-28
Last seen2026-09-14
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$269K
Verified lifetime PnL
$14.16MVolume
52.3%Win rate (sample) · n=398
1.73%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$269.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $2,420only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,446partial
Liquidity rewards$5,148partial
1.90% ROI50.1% Win rate · n=415
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$143.9K · loses the most in Tech & science -$6,884
Top 5 winning markets
- +$38.1KWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No / Yes
- +$13.6KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$13.4KWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture · No
- +$13.3KWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
- +$12.9KWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Culture · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$13.9KWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Politics · Yes
- -$9,400Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Politics · Yes
- -$7,186Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Politics · No
- -$6,362Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Politics · Yes
- -$5,527US forces enter Iran by December 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$269KVerified lifetime PnL
$237KEarned off the board
54Days on board
$32KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$48K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $914 |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $398 |
| 2026-05 | 14 | $12K |
| 2026-06 | 13 | $6K |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $7K |
Which boards
Politics 42Mentions 6Sports 6Crypto 2Finance 1All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
88% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $1K (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio88%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$1K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$124
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-04-13 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$32K
Verified lifetime PnL$269K
Verification gap$237K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)