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0xf284ad6d607f777f34bc643cea587c33a886b9f9
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 4% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 4%Verified PnL#595 of 624
Beats 54%Win rate#268 of 592
Beats 9%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#563 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-07-19
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$379K
Verified lifetime PnL
$38.99MVolume
67.3%Win rate (sample) · n=398
-0.97%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$379.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $284only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$34.6Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,875
-0.97% ROI44.3% Win rate · n=605
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1.63M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$513.9KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No / Yes
- +$241.5KKnicks vs. SpursSports · Knicks
- +$156.7KSpurs vs. ThunderSports · Spurs
- +$144.8KRoland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio CobolliSports · Flavio Cobolli / Felix Auger-Aliassime
- +$126.2KHurricanes vs. Golden KnightsSports · Golden Knights / Hurricanes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$154.9KRoland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevSports · Andrey Rublev
- -$137.3KRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra AndreevaSports · Marta Kostyuk
- -$125.6KSpread: Thunder (-2.5)Sports · Spurs
- -$104.0KGolden Knights vs. HurricanesSports · Golden Knights / Hurricanes
- -$104.0KRoland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances TiafoeSports · Jaime Faria
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$379KVerified lifetime PnL
$1.65MBelow board-day sum
36Days on board
$1.27MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 23 | $814K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $454K |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $130 |
Which boards
Politics 23Sports 21All markets 14Crypto 10Finance 9
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
95% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $35K (89% maker / 11% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio95%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-12
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$35K
Maker rebate$31K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-05-06 → 2026-07-24
Profit composition
Net negative (window)
Trade cash-$63
Rebate$0
Net total-$63
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$1.27M
Verified lifetime PnL-$379K
Verification gap-$1.65M
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)