ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsethanaz
0xf28e42d20e4826f2b10a24bc952001697947cab2
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 83% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 83%Verified PnL#104 of 622
Beats 86%Win rate#80 of 568
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#112 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board37
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$573K
Verified lifetime PnL
$43.52MVolume
86%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.60%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$573.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $92.0Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$15.9Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$240
1.32% ROI38.3% Win rate · n=899
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$3.94M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$246.3KDetroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue JaysSports · Detroit Tigers
- +$245.1KFlorida vs. MissouriSports · Missouri / Florida
- +$210.6KAtlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh PiratesSports · Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$184.4KMinnesota vs. WashingtonSports · Minnesota
- +$152.3KThunder vs. SpursSports · Thunder / Spurs
Top 5 losing markets
- -$327.1KSeahawks vs. BroncosSports · Seahawks
- -$211.6KNotre Dame vs. BYUSports · Notre Dame
- -$184.3K76ers vs. KnicksSports · 76ers / Knicks
- -$158.2KEagles vs. TitansSports · Titans
- -$136.2KSpurs vs. KnicksSports · Knicks / Spurs
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$573KVerified lifetime PnL
$733KBelow board-day sum
37Days on board
$1.37MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 4 | $122K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $389K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $94K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $77K |
| 2026-08 | 2 | $4K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $524K |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $154K |
Which boards
Sports 37All markets 20
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
62% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $16K (26% maker / 74% taker); rebate covers 27% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio62%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$16K
Maker rebate$4K
Taker rebate$12K
Maker share26%
Taker share74%
Window2026-03-14 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$15K
Rebate$4K
Net total-$11K
Rebate covers loss27%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.31M
Verified lifetime PnL$573K
Verification gap-$733K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)