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0xf3a6ac44c5c90ff2b4afa4459f71acc2e57971bd
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 49% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 49%Verified PnL#313 of 624
Beats 88%30-day PnL#67 of 594
Beats 73%Win rate#160 of 592
Beats 5%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#586 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-06-29
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$49K
Verified lifetime PnL
$6.16MVolume
77.2%Win rate (sample) · n=391
-1.77%PnL ÷ Volume
$85K7-day PnL
$196K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$49.3K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $35.1Konly the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$19.8Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$119
0.80% ROI47.3% Win rate · n=639
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$480.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$64.9KEngland vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · Argentina
- +$61.3KPelicans vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Sports · Over
- +$53.0KPittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Sports · Under
- +$47.9KRavens vs. FalconsSports · Ravens
- +$42.4KArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Sports · Under
Top 5 losing markets
- -$63.8KUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports · Conor McGregor
- -$54.8KLos Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Sports · Under
- -$44.2KColorado Rockies vs. Washington NationalsSports · Colorado Rockies
- -$39.6KSeattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Sports · Under
- -$35.1KToronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Sports · Over
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$49KVerified lifetime PnL
$65KBelow board-day sum
26Days on board
$115KBoard-day sum
$85K7-day PnL
$196K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $28 |
| 2026-07 | 10 | $59K |
| 2026-08 | 10 | $43K |
| 2026-09 | 5 | $12K |
Which boards
Sports 26All markets 5
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
51% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $20K (10% maker / 90% taker); recent window rebate share 1%
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio51%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-10
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$20K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$18K
Maker share10%
Taker share90%
Window2026-06-26 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
Trade-dominated
Trade cash$158K
Rebate$2K
Net total$160K
Rebate share1%
Window2026-09-12 → 2026-10-12
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$115K
Verified lifetime PnL$49K
Verification gap-$65K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)