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Treadmilled
0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 76% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
$193K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$121.3K · loses the most in Tech & science -$651
Top 5 winning markets
- +$201.7KWill Biden finish his term?Politics · Yes
- +$86.2KUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Politics · Yes
- +$72.2KUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Yes
- +$66.3KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · No
- +$64.9KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$193.7KWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes
- -$101.6KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · No / Yes
- -$51.5KNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Politics · Yes
- -$50.7KUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Yes
- -$31.9KFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?Politics · Kamala
Covers all 171 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 13 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$120.4K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 9 | $957 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $34K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)