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0xf51b1d56…
0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#712 of 1130
Beats 40%30-day PnL#482 of 810
Beats 12%Win rate#816 of 928
Beats 56%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#420 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board19
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-07
Last seen2026-11-03
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$11K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.06MVolume
45.1%Win rate (sample) · n=386
1.03%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2347-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$11.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $21only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$675partial
Liquidity rewards$2,234
1.05% ROI45.1% Win rate · n=386
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$11.8K · loses the most in Sports -$60.32
Top 5 winning markets
- +$460Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 12?Weather · Yes
- +$441Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?Weather · Yes
- +$321Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C or higher on July 22?Weather · Yes
- +$302Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?Weather · Yes
- +$294Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?Weather · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$168Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?Weather · No
- -$160Will Champi peak as a Very strong typhoon?Weather · Yes
- -$118Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 17?Weather · Yes
- -$102Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 20?Weather · Yes
- -$98.28Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 12?Weather · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$11KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KEarned off the board
19Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
-$2347-day PnL
$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 1 | $68 |
| 2026-06 | 3 | $361 |
| 2026-07 | 5 | $320 |
| 2026-08 | 6 | $445 |
| 2026-09 | 3 | $81 |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $217 |
Which boards
Weather 19
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $675 (99% maker / 1% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio76%
Fills measured492
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$675
Maker rebate$671
Taker rebate$3
Maker share99%
Taker share1%
Window2026-04-03 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$11K
Verification gap$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)