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ronm238
0xf66f1f8f742b301e03eed9480956373a6ef98e0c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#482 of 624
Beats 61%30-day PnL#228 of 594
Beats 19%Win rate#478 of 592
Beats 23%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#473 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board39
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-10-10
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$3K
Verified lifetime PnL
$4.20MVolume
47%Win rate · n=370
0.08%PnL ÷ Volume
$907-day PnL
$13K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$2,693
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $3,879only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$263partial
Liquidity rewards$51
0.06% ROI43.8% Win rate · n=397
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$22.2K · loses the most in Politics -$9,369
Top 5 winning markets
- +$25.6KWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
- +$19.0KEthereum all time high in 2024?Crypto · No
- +$5,797Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
- +$4,989Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?Crypto · No
- +$3,730Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?Crypto · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$33.4KWill Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?Crypto · No / Yes
- -$17.2KWill Ethereum reach $3,500 in November?Crypto · No
- -$5,762Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$5,000Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?Politics · Yes
- -$4,053Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?Politics · Yes
Covers the 372 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$3KVerified lifetime PnL
$17KBelow board-day sum
39Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
$907-day PnL
$13K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $187 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $3K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $3K |
| 2026-07 | 9 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $6K |
| 2026-10 | 3 | $6K |
Which boards
Finance 37Crypto 4All markets 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
9% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $263 (10% maker / 90% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio9%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-02
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$263
Maker rebate$25
Taker rebate$238
Maker share10%
Taker share90%
Window2026-06-09 → 2026-08-22
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL$3K
Verification gap-$17K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)