ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

Serrurebleue

0xf7314bda11445c7918c4415b9c96643addb1e5c2

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 10% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 10%Verified PnL#1017 of 1130

Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board6
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-07-05
Last seen2026-09-12
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$37K

Verified lifetime PnL

2026-07 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$37.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $3,782only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)—
Liquidity rewards$0
— ROI— Win rate

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly taker70% of 500 archived fills were taker fillsMid-price trader71% of 289 buys between 35¢ and 65¢Mainly sports88% of last 500 fills (over 93.4 days) are sports marketsRead from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

No category in profit; worst is Sports -$33.4K

Crypto15 pos.-$808
Politics2 pos.-$1,071
Sports265 pos.-$33.4K

Top 5 winning markets

  1. +$3,550ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. ValenciaSports · Valencia
  2. +$3,045Perth Wildcats vs. South East Melbourne PhoenixSports · Perth Wildcats
  3. +$2,856Dominica vs. Guyana: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes / No
  4. +$2,679Atlanta Dream vs. Washington MysticsSports · Atlanta Dream
  5. +$2,165Manresa vs. CB Breogan LugoSports · CB Breogan Lugo

Top 5 losing markets

  1. -$5,442Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
  2. -$4,900Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
  3. -$4,784Suriname vs. Guatemala: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
  4. -$4,146CA Mineiro vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreSports · Yes
  5. -$3,889Paris Basketball vs. Zalgiris KaunasSports · Zalgiris Kaunas

Covers all 282 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 105 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$78.6K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04

Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →

-$37KVerified lifetime PnL
$41KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-07 4 $3K
2026-08 1 $393
2026-09 1 $447

Which boards

Sports 6

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

30% passive fills in the recent window

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

mostly aggressive

Passive ratio30%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-01
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL-$37K
Verification gap-$41K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)