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0xf767fa803ef11754c87175515f071eb487b261df
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#372 of 624
Beats 58%30-day PnL#248 of 594
Beats 79%Win rate#123 of 592
Beats 97%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#17 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board20
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-08
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$29K
Verified lifetime PnL
$351KVolume
82.1%Win rate · n=39
9.26%PnL ÷ Volume
$7K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$28.7K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,262only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$150partial
Liquidity rewards$88
8.18% ROI68.1% Win rate · n=47
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$22.4K · loses the most in Sports -$4,719
Top 5 winning markets
- +$24.6KMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Finance · No
- +$9,408Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Politics · No
- +$2,724Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Politics · No
- +$1,736Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Politics · Yes
- +$1,258Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,257Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · No
- -$2,578Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?Politics · No
- -$2,124Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Finance · No
- -$1,506Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Culture · Yes
- -$716Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026?Politics · No
Covers all 53 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$29KVerified lifetime PnL
$24KEarned off the board
20Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$7K7-day PnL
$10K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 3 | $507 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $414 |
| 2026-08 | 5 | $444 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $389 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Politics 14Culture 4Tech 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
70% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $150 (90% maker / 10% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio70%
Fills measured491
Window ends2026-09-11
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$150
Maker rebate$135
Taker rebate$15
Maker share90%
Taker share10%
Window2026-04-12 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$29K
Verification gap$24K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)