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0xf787b8a3a4c6990f48614a0b9af8422e3e7a1b63
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 37% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 37%Verified PnL#390 of 624
Beats 48%30-day PnL#308 of 594
Beats 67%Win rate#190 of 592
Beats 79%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#129 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board15
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$25K
Verified lifetime PnL
$833KVolume
73.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.43%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$24.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $593only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$250partial
Liquidity rewards$276
2.98% ROI52.5% Win rate · n=558
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Weather +$24.1K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$821Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 29?Weather · Yes
- +$710Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 15?Weather · Yes
- +$688Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?Weather · Yes
- +$593Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?Weather · Yes
- +$567Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Sports · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$468Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on May 22?Weather · No
- -$401Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 21?Weather · No
- -$340Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 20?Weather · Yes
- -$264Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?Weather · No
- -$224Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?Weather · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$25KVerified lifetime PnL
$23KEarned off the board
15Days on board
$1KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $601 |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $524 |
| 2026-07 | 2 | $158 |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $24 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $51 |
Which boards
Weather 14Sports 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
73% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $250 (92% maker / 8% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio73%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$250
Maker rebate$230
Taker rebate$20
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-03-31 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$1K
Verified lifetime PnL$25K
Verification gap$23K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)