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SiSi
0xf85fa31a58fcce6c00b5af806a598b1600329800
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 31% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 31%Verified PnL#779 of 1130
Beats 46%30-day PnL#435 of 810
Beats 72%Win rate#255 of 928
Beats 29%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#669 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board40
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-27
Last seen2026-09-20
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
$2.29MVolume
77.7%Win rate (sample) · n=390
0.21%PnL ÷ Volume
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$4,515
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $296only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$154partial
Liquidity rewards$385
0.20% ROI41.4% Win rate · n=734
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$13.4K · loses the most in Other -$874
Top 5 winning markets
- +$13.1KUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Yes / No
- +$5,398Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Politics · Yes
- +$3,800Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?Politics · Yes
- +$3,011Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Politics · No
- +$2,931Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?Politics · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,945Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Politics · Yes
- -$6,143Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?Politics · Yes
- -$4,134Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Politics · No
- -$4,026Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Politics · No
- -$3,585Will Medina and Quiroga advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 343 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$34.0K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$5KVerified lifetime PnL
$293Below board-day sum
40Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$4K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 1 | $174 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $423 |
| 2026-06 | 5 | $800 |
| 2026-07 | 11 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $491 |
Which boards
Politics 15Culture 8Crypto 7Sports 6Tech 3Weather 2Finance 2Mentions 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
99% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $154 (98% maker / 2% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio99%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$154
Maker rebate$151
Taker rebate$3
Maker share98%
Taker share2%
Window2026-04-08 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL$5K
Verification gap-$293
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)