ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.
← All boardsjeev
0xf9efef8ec6235e547ae1ce1ff0de4347e68320eb
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 20% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 20%Verified PnL#499 of 624
Beats 17%30-day PnL#492 of 594
Beats 25%Win rate#440 of 592
Beats 19%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#501 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board36
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-26
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$337
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.57MVolume
50.9%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.00%PnL ÷ Volume
$3K7-day PnL
-$3K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$337
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,582partial
Liquidity rewards$11.3K
0.02% ROI37.6% Win rate · n=540
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$1,691 · loses the most in Politics -$5,235
Top 5 winning markets
- +$823Will Trump pick Kash Patel for Director of the FBI?Politics · Yes
- +$590Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs HereWeGoAgain (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group StageSports · BESTIA Academy
- +$468Will Trump say "Reagan" during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?Politics · No
- +$428Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceSports · Paraguay
- +$423Jazz vs. PelicansSports · Pelicans
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,044Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?Politics · Yes
- -$651Trump wins every swing state?Politics · No
- -$599Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Politics · No
- -$467Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?Politics · No
- -$466Will Trump say "Suicide" during his Midterm Rally in Montana?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$337Verified lifetime PnL
$9KBelow board-day sum
36Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
$3K7-day PnL
-$3K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $333 |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $4K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $2K |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $50 |
| 2026-08 | 3 | $261 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $886 |
| 2026-10 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $59 |
Which boards
Sports 16Finance 10Mentions 9Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-02-17 → 2026-10-12
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$337
Verification gap-$9K
Trade on Polymarket
If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.
Open Polymarket View this trader on PolymarketAffiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.
Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)