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← All boardsextractive-manatee
0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 57% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 57%Verified PnL#263 of 624
Beats 65%30-day PnL#208 of 594
Beats 49%Win rate#301 of 592
Beats 35%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#400 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board50
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-26
Last seen2026-09-22
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$84K
Verified lifetime PnL
$18.93MVolume
63.8%Win rate (sample) · n=395
0.44%PnL ÷ Volume
$6K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$84.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $630only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$1,782partial
Liquidity rewards$41.2K
0.44% ROI63.6% Win rate · n=396
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Finance +$34.0K · loses the most in Other -$324
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,232Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · No
- +$3,686Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Politics · Yes
- +$3,336Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · Yes
- +$3,098Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · No
- +$3,057Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$6,796Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?Finance · Yes
- -$4,695Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?Sports · Yes / No
- -$2,630Steelers vs. BrownsSports · Steelers
- -$2,625Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?Sports · Yes
- -$2,529U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?Politics · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$84KVerified lifetime PnL
$71KEarned off the board
50Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$6K7-day PnL
$18K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 2 | $861 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $479 |
| 2026-07 | 8 | $662 |
| 2026-08 | 15 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 14 | $4K |
Which boards
Sports 30Finance 19Politics 6Mentions 2Tech 1Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
97% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (65% maker / 35% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio97%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$1K
Taker rebate$620
Maker share65%
Taker share35%
Window2026-03-20 → 2026-11-01
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$84K
Verification gap$71K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)