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← All boardsBABELCONSTEL
0xfa21179f2cef2f61cb78e8340ae62b17f9271438
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 2% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 2%Verified PnL#606 of 624
Beats 10%30-day PnL#533 of 594
Beats 76%Win rate#137 of 592
Beats 5%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#585 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board55
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-25
Last seen2026-10-04
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$670K
Verified lifetime PnL
$38.64MVolume
79.8%Win rate (sample) · n=400
-1.73%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$669.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $8,361only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$772partial
Liquidity rewards$271
-1.73% ROI52.7% Win rate · n=605
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$798.0K · loses the most in Politics -$12.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$156.9KSharks vs. Maple LeafsSports · Sharks
- +$111.1KTimberwolves vs. JazzSports · Jazz / Timberwolves
- +$87.8KKnicks vs. NuggetsSports · Knicks
- +$83.7KEagles vs. BillsSports · Eagles
- +$68.8KNuggets vs. TimberwolvesSports · Timberwolves
Top 5 losing markets
- -$133.9KWild vs. StarsSports · Stars
- -$70.7KLakers vs. RocketsSports · Lakers
- -$60.5KThunder vs. SpursSports · Spurs / Thunder
- -$57.2KPatriots vs. BroncosSports · Broncos / Patriots
- -$40.9KBroncos vs. ChiefsSports · Chiefs
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$670KVerified lifetime PnL
$903KBelow board-day sum
55Days on board
$233KBoard-day sum
-$7K7-day PnL
-$19K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $11K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $124K |
| 2026-05 | 16 | $52K |
| 2026-06 | 9 | $31K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 7 | $8K |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $3K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $1K |
Which boards
Culture 46Sports 13All markets 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
45% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $772 (91% maker / 9% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio45%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-07-21
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$772
Maker rebate$705
Taker rebate$67
Maker share91%
Taker share9%
Window2026-02-13 → 2026-10-06
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$233K
Verified lifetime PnL-$670K
Verification gap-$903K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)