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0xfb1b4e2db61efb47bfb1ac92807c76d4f367a11d
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 38% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 38%Verified PnL#385 of 624
Beats 44%30-day PnL#332 of 594
Beats 74%Win rate#153 of 592
Beats 90%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#61 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board14
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$26K
Verified lifetime PnL
$679KVolume
78.1%Win rate · n=187
3.85%PnL ÷ Volume
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$25.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $728only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$38partial
Liquidity rewards$212
3.80% ROI57.4% Win rate · n=258
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$47.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,791Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$4,176Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?Tech & science · Yes / No
- +$3,609Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,827Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$2,559Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?Tech & science · No / Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$1,067Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$1,020Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?Tech & science · Yes / No
- -$996Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$928Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- -$629Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Tech & science · Yes / No
Covers all 194 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$26KVerified lifetime PnL
$24KEarned off the board
14Days on board
$2KBoard-day sum
$1K7-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 3 | $750 |
| 2026-04 | 1 | $10 |
| 2026-05 | 2 | $230 |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $82 |
| 2026-07 | 1 | $33 |
| 2026-09 | 6 | $565 |
Which boards
Tech 9Finance 4Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
65% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $38 (41% maker / 59% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio65%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-24
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$38
Maker rebate$16
Taker rebate$22
Maker share41%
Taker share59%
Window2026-07-25 → 2026-10-14
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$2K
Verified lifetime PnL$26K
Verification gap$24K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)