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0xfbf3d501e88815464642d0e913f15379c3eeb218
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 90% of the 622 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 90%Verified PnL#59 of 622
Beats 35%Win rate#366 of 568
Beats 55%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#261 of 591
Compared with the 622 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board25
Archive span202 days
First seen2026-03-30
Last seen2026-10-31
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$1.09M
Verified lifetime PnL
$93.95MVolume
55.3%Win rate (sample) · n=400
1.16%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-10-31
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1.09M
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9,589only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$53.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$1,799
1.16% ROI39.5% Win rate · n=560
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Sports +$2.35M
Top 5 winning markets
- +$283.0KWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
- +$260.3KWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?Sports · No
- +$258.9KWill SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?Sports · No
- +$194.3KLoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerSports · Kiwoom DRX
- +$188.4KKnicks vs. CavaliersSports · Knicks
Top 5 losing markets
- -$202.5KWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?Sports · No
- -$193.1KKnicks vs. 76ersSports · 76ers
- -$185.0KWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?Sports · No
- -$145.7KGame Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)Sports · JD Gaming
- -$145.1KLoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerSports · Team Vitality
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-10-31
$1.09MVerified lifetime PnL
$590KBelow board-day sum
25Days on board
$1.71MBoard-day sum
—7-day PnL
—30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 1 | $240K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $241K |
| 2026-05 | 11 | $974K |
| 2026-06 | 1 | $83 |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $34K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $463 |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $11K |
| 2026-10 | 2 | $214K |
Which boards
Sports 22All markets 18
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $54K (92% maker / 8% taker); rebate covers 2% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured498
Window ends2026-10-30
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$54K
Maker rebate$49K
Taker rebate$4K
Maker share92%
Taker share8%
Window2026-03-29 → 2026-10-30
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$126K
Rebate$3K
Net total-$123K
Rebate covers loss2%
Window2026-09-30 → 2026-10-30
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$1.68M
Verified lifetime PnL$1.09M
Verification gap-$590K
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Generated 2026-10-31 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-31 (202 snapshots)