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XAE12Archangel
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 74% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 74%Verified PnL#291 of 1130
Beats 12%30-day PnL#706 of 810
Beats 52%Win rate#437 of 928
Beats 23%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#733 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board49
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$164K
Verified lifetime PnL
$377.69MVolume
67.3%Win rate (sample) · n=394
0.04%PnL ÷ Volume
-$7K7-day PnL
-$9K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$164.2K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $394only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$23.5Kpartial
Liquidity rewards$17.7K
0.04% ROI50.5% Win rate · n=525
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$6.60M · loses the most in Tech & science -$67.15
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3.23MWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$2.97MWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Politics · Yes / No
- +$968.5KFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$829.1KWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
- +$420.7KNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes / No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$287.0KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$281.4KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$210.0KFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$153.5KWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- -$152.5KWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 131 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$5.79M). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$164KVerified lifetime PnL
$158KEarned off the board
49Days on board
$7KBoard-day sum
-$7K7-day PnL
-$9K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 11 | $2K |
| 2026-06 | 6 | $522 |
| 2026-07 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-08 | 12 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 8 | $773 |
Which boards
Finance 33Culture 11Politics 8
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionopen
Measured layers
74% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $23K (89% maker / 11% taker); rebate covers 1% of recent trading losses
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio74%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-29
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$23K
Maker rebate$21K
Taker rebate$2K
Maker share89%
Taker share11%
Window2026-02-13 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
Rebate covering trading losses
Trade cash-$307K
Rebate$2K
Net total-$305K
Rebate covers loss1%
Window2026-10-05 → 2026-11-04
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$7K
Verified lifetime PnL$164K
Verification gap$158K
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)