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lisra
0xfc7612db87dc5d3b234fb673eda2858f9de00ad0
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 40% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 40%Verified PnL#675 of 1130
Beats 18%30-day PnL#660 of 810
Beats 48%Win rate#475 of 928
Beats 91%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#84 of 954
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board26
Archive span206 days
First seen2026-04-16
Last seen2026-10-12
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$16K
Verified lifetime PnL
$374KVolume
64.8%Win rate · n=71
4.99%PnL ÷ Volume
-$1K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$16.0K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $713only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$141partial
Liquidity rewards$27
4.27% ROI26.7% Win rate · n=172
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$17.6K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$9,941Grok 4.20 released by January 15?Tech & science · No
- +$5,199Grok 4.20 released by February 28?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,409Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$1,786Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · No
- +$1,728Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?Finance · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$5,343Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$3,641Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- -$414Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Finance · Yes / No
- -$317Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETCrypto · Down
- -$255Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Tech & science · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Not in the bars: 101 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$14.3K). This wallet has too many positions to read in full, so they cannot be matched fairly; its real result is lower than the bars. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
$16KVerified lifetime PnL
$12KEarned off the board
26Days on board
$4KBoard-day sum
-$1K7-day PnL
-$2K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 5 | $665 |
| 2026-05 | 9 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 7 | $415 |
| 2026-07 | 4 | $161 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Tech 24Finance 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
11% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $141 (3% maker / 97% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio11%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-10-10
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Taker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$141
Maker rebate$4
Taker rebate$137
Maker share3%
Taker share97%
Window2026-07-09 → 2026-11-04
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$4K
Verified lifetime PnL$16K
Verification gap$12K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)