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AML
0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 1% of the 1130 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Compared with the 1130 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
At a glance
-$637K
Verified lifetime PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-04
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Culture +$15.3K · loses the most in Politics -$769.9K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$482.7KUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Sports · Justin Gaethje
- +$261.0KWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Politics · No
- +$246.0KWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Politics · No
- +$237.5KWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$216.2KEngland vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSports · Argentina
Top 5 losing markets
- -$873.7KWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Politics · Yes
- -$211.5KUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSports · United States
- -$203.8KUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Sports · Conor McGregor
- -$200.1KUFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevSports · Du Plessis
- -$146.5KWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Politics · Yes
Covers all 53 closed positions this wallet has. Includes 8 losing positions that expired worthless and were never redeemed (-$579.5K). Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-04
Full account check-up: real PnL by market type, last 30/90 days, unredeemed losses included →
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $30K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $86K |
| 2026-05 | 18 | $230K |
| 2026-06 | 11 | $511K |
| 2026-07 | 3 | $6K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $1K |
Which boards
Method breakdown
No method layer measured yet for this address.
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
Not measured for this address — either no recent fills, or the two passes over the same span disagreed. Left blank rather than shown as zero, which would read as fully aggressive.
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-04 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-04 (206 snapshots)