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0xfe059291fd4d1c413960e55ca1e47ad4e585931c
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 22% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 22%Verified PnL#486 of 624
Beats 60%30-day PnL#235 of 594
Beats 75%Win rate#147 of 592
Beats 7%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#576 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board6
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-07-09
Last seen2026-10-03
VerdictOverstated
At a glance
$2K
Verified lifetime PnL
$286KVolume
79.2%Win rate · n=24
-1.44%PnL ÷ Volume
$2K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$1,947
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $968only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$137partial
Liquidity rewards$98
0.68% ROI79.2% Win rate · n=24
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$3,209 · loses the most in Sports -$5,695
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,034Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Politics · Yes
- +$2,921Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Politics · No
- +$2,809Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,680Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Finance · Yes
- +$2,522US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$4,975Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceSports · Mexico
- -$4,277Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$4,032Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?Politics · Yes
- -$3,428NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$2,666Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?Politics · Yes / No
Covers all 36 closed positions this wallet has. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$2KVerified lifetime PnL
$2KBelow board-day sum
6Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
$2K7-day PnL
$11K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07 | 3 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 1 | $229 |
| 2026-09 | 1 | $100 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $2K |
Which boards
Politics 5Finance 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
69% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $137 (53% maker / 47% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio69%
Fills measured96
Window ends2026-09-30
Window scope88 days
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$137
Maker rebate$72
Taker rebate$65
Maker share53%
Taker share47%
Window2026-07-06 → 2026-10-13
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Overstated
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$2K
Verification gap-$2K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)