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0xfeb581080aee6dc26c264a647b30a9cd44d5a393
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 82% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 82%Verified PnL#112 of 624
Beats 29%30-day PnL#418 of 594
Beats 48%Win rate#308 of 592
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#118 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board28
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-09-17
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$523K
Verified lifetime PnL
$20.52MVolume
63.4%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.54%PnL ÷ Volume
-$2467-day PnL
$12030-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$522.6K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid$0only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$65partial
Liquidity rewards$6,618partial
2.55% ROI63.4% Win rate · n=399
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Crypto +$164.6K · loses the most in Other -$2,137
Top 5 winning markets
- +$16.7KWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?Crypto · 100k
- +$15.1KBitcoin Up or Down on April 10?Crypto · Up
- +$14.9KWill the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 7 at 5 PM ET?Crypto · No
- +$14.1KIs the Room-Temp Superconductor real?Tech & science · No
- +$12.4KWill Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?Crypto · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$16.4KWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2500 on June 5 at 5 PM ET?Crypto · No
- -$15.0KWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in February?Crypto · No
- -$13.0KWill Bitcoin dip to $115K July 14–20?Crypto · Yes
- -$12.6KWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?Crypto · No
- -$8,018Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?Crypto · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$523KVerified lifetime PnL
$513KEarned off the board
28Days on board
$9KBoard-day sum
-$2467-day PnL
$12030-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 5 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 4 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 7 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 8 | $2K |
| 2026-09 | 2 | $126 |
Which boards
Crypto 28
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
80% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $65 (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
unknown (methods disagree)
Passive ratio80%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-04-27
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$65
Maker rebate$65
Taker rebate$0
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-06 → 2026-04-28
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$9K
Verified lifetime PnL$523K
Verification gap$513K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)