ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

← All boards

0x3b4484b6…

0x3b4484b6c8cbfdaa383ba337ab3f0d71055e264e

Days on board10
Archive span135 days
First seen2026-05-20
Last seen2026-08-05
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$282K

Verified lifetime PnL

$4.18MVolume
83.2%Win rate (sample) · n=398
6.74%PnL ÷ Volume
$8577-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-08

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

$282KVerified lifetime PnL
$269KEarned off the board
10Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
$8577-day PnL
$4K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 1 $214
2026-06 5 $8K
2026-07 2 $347
2026-08 2 $4K

Which boards

Politics 8Finance 1Sports 1Culture 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

76% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $98 (97% maker / 3% taker)

Execution style

mostly passive

Passive ratio76%
Fills measured499
Window ends2026-08-07
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$98
Maker rebate$95
Taker rebate$3
Maker share97%
Taker share3%
Window2026-05-07 → 2026-07-09

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$282K
Verification gap$269K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is a referral link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-08-09 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-08-09 (135 snapshots)