ProbPocket Prediction markets, in your pocket.

← All boards

BTCmaxi

0xa40a970102c23322a0f5e28332a58c89dcf3fa62

Days on board21
Archive span180 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictNet negative

At a glance

-$73K

Verified lifetime PnL

$2.07MVolume
63.1%Win rate · n=65
-4.20%PnL ÷ Volume
$53K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-09

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

-$73KVerified lifetime PnL
$88KBelow board-day sum
21Days on board
$15KBoard-day sum
$53K7-day PnL
$26K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 9 $6K
2026-06 1 $810
2026-08 3 $2K
2026-09 8 $6K

Which boards

Crypto 17Politics 4All markets 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

98% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $683 (74% maker / 26% taker)

Execution style

passive (market maker)

Passive ratio98%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-08-20
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Maker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$683
Maker rebate$505
Taker rebate$178
Maker share74%
Taker share26%
Window2026-04-20 → 2026-09-22

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Net negative

Board-day sum$15K
Verified lifetime PnL-$73K
Verification gap-$88K

Trade on Polymarket

If you are setting up an account, this is my referral link.

Open Polymarket View this trader on Polymarket

Disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is a referral link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-09-24 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-09-23 (180 snapshots)