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← All boardsIs Quarrelsome-Branch really profitable on Polymarket?
0x0cb10c40b0776e9ee8cef970af85724654dda76c
Short answer
Mostly yes. Quarrelsome-Branch made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 99 days (2026-03-21 to 2026-11-01), adding up to $13K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$111K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$486, last month +$8K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 62% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 62%Verified PnL#233 of 624
Beats 53%30-day PnL#279 of 594
Beats 69%Win rate#178 of 592
Beats 84%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#96 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board99
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-21
Last seen2026-11-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$111K
Verified lifetime PnL
$3.68MVolume
74.5%Win rate (sample) · n=400
2.91%PnL ÷ Volume
-$4867-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$110.8K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $1,134only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$436partial
Liquidity rewards$1,885
3.01% ROI35.4% Win rate · n=842
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$31.3K · loses the most in Crypto -$102
Top 5 winning markets
- +$5,123Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Culture · Yes
- +$2,894Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?Politics · No
- +$2,267Will Trump say "Corn" during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Politics · Yes
- +$1,861Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?Culture · No
- +$1,683Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?Tech & science · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$621Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$514Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?Politics · Yes
- -$508US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Politics · Yes
- -$501US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Politics · Yes
- -$498Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Yes
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$111KVerified lifetime PnL
$98KEarned off the board
99Days on board
$13KBoard-day sum
-$4867-day PnL
$8K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 2 | $2K |
| 2026-04 | 6 | $2K |
| 2026-05 | 10 | $721 |
| 2026-06 | 16 | $1K |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 20 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 21 | $1K |
| 2026-10 | 7 | $4K |
| 2026-11 | 1 | $35 |
Which boards
Mentions 88Politics 5Culture 5Tech 4Sports 3
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
47% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $436 (70% maker / 30% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mixed
Passive ratio47%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Mixed rebate
Visible rebate total$436
Maker rebate$303
Taker rebate$133
Maker share70%
Taker share30%
Window2026-04-05 → 2026-10-11
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$13K
Verified lifetime PnL$111K
Verification gap$98K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)