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Is shiifoo really profitable on Polymarket?

0x30f67d821c57a54e25e5e521dbd3b5b18309004f

Short answer

Mostly yes. shiifoo made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 85 days (2026-05-02 to 2026-10-29), adding up to $14K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$47K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$39K, last month +$60K.

All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets

Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology

Site-wide rank

Verified PnL beats 48% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.

Beats 48%Verified PnL#321 of 624
Beats 78%30-day PnL#128 of 594
Beats 22%Win rate#461 of 592
Beats 60%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#247 of 620

Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.

Days on board85
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-02
Last seen2026-10-29
VerdictHolds up

At a glance

$47K

Verified lifetime PnL

$2.04MVolume
48.8%Win rate (sample) · n=379
1.35%PnL ÷ Volume
$39K7-day PnL
$60K30-day PnL
2026-05 2026-10

Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.

Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.

Loading official book…

Loading how it makes money…

Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01

Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$47.5K

For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again

Trading fees paid≥ $516only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$849partial
Liquidity rewards$0
2.33% ROI32.6% Win rate · n=567

Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.

Trading styleMostly taker95% of 500 archived fills were taker fillsHolds to settlementSells are only 0% of turnover in the last 500 fills (over 13.9 h)Read from recent fills; hover a tag for the numbers. A profile, not a signal to copy.

What it trades and where the money comes from

Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.

Makes the most in Sports +$9,976

Sports207 pos.+$9,976
Finance40 pos.+$4,965
Politics118 pos.+$2,990
Tech & science17 pos.+$2,110
Culture11 pos.+$1,655
Weather7 pos.+$712

Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01

$47KVerified lifetime PnL
$34KEarned off the board
85Days on board
$14KBoard-day sum
$39K7-day PnL
$60K30-day PnL

Month by month

MonthDays on a boardSummed PnL
2026-05 4 $282
2026-06 18 $2K
2026-07 20 $3K
2026-08 26 $5K
2026-09 16 $3K
2026-10 1 $340

Which boards

Mentions 37Sports 37Culture 16Politics 15Finance 13Tech 5Weather 5All markets 1

Method breakdown

Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet

Measured layers

5% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $849 (14% maker / 86% taker)

Compare with another wallet

Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.

Execution style

aggressive (taker)

Passive ratio5%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent

Visible rebates

Taker-rebate heavy

Visible rebate total$849
Maker rebate$121
Taker rebate$729
Maker share14%
Taker share86%
Window2026-03-07 → 2026-10-29

Profit composition

No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.

Verification check

Holds up

Board-day sum$14K
Verified lifetime PnL$47K
Verification gap$34K

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Affiliate disclosure: every link to Polymarket on this page is an affiliate (referral) link, and I may earn a commission if you sign up through one. It changes nothing about the data here, which is generated from public APIs. Nothing on this page is financial advice, a signal service, or a promise of returns.

Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)