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← All boardsIs tradetosurvive1 really profitable on Polymarket?
0x30fb41b5a08fff5d3dd983f6323e3343931a7db4
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. tradetosurvive1 made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 69 days (2026-06-25 to 2026-10-11), adding up to $11K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$217K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board.
All figures are Polymarket's own pre-fee numbers (taker fees not deducted), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Days on board69
Archive span200 days
First seen2026-06-25
Last seen2026-10-11
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$217K
Verified lifetime PnL
$8.45MVolume
57.1%Win rate (sample) · n=392
-2.28%PnL ÷ Volume
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
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-$217KVerified lifetime PnL
$227KBelow board-day sum
69Days on board
$11KBoard-day sum
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06 | 1 | $147 |
| 2026-07 | 16 | $936 |
| 2026-08 | 28 | $6K |
| 2026-09 | 19 | $2K |
| 2026-10 | 5 | $2K |
Which boards
Mentions 36Weather 24Sports 16Finance 16Tech 15Politics 13Culture 4
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesnot measured yet
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
100% passive fills in the recent window
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio100%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Visible-rebate layer not fetched for this address yet. It comes from the official activity API (MAKER_REBATE / TAKER_REBATE) — not invented from PnL.
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$11K
Verified lifetime PnL-$217K
Verification gap-$227K
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Archived 2026-10-29 · not refreshed since then · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-10-29 (200 snapshots)