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← All boardsIs idl really profitable on Polymarket?
0x726c6e3d5cdb1a8a97b38c0e2d88448b19d66bfd
Short answer
Mostly yes. idl made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 60 days (2026-05-06 to 2026-10-01), adding up to $3K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$4K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$303, last month +$143.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 24% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 24%Verified PnL#474 of 624
Beats 30%30-day PnL#415 of 594
Beats 45%Win rate#326 of 592
Beats 81%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#113 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board60
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-05-06
Last seen2026-10-01
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$4K
Verified lifetime PnL
$154KVolume
61.7%Win rate (sample) · n=399
2.62%PnL ÷ Volume
-$3037-day PnL
$14330-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$3,804
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $687only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$8partial
Liquidity rewards$11
2.47% ROI60.7% Win rate · n=405
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Tech & science +$1,785 · loses the most in Crypto -$262
Top 5 winning markets
- +$325Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?Tech & science · No / Yes
- +$308Will Trump say "Soaking Wet" in August?Politics · No
- +$252Will Trump say "Jerusalem" in August?Politics · No
- +$237Will Elon post "Never" on X this week?Tech & science · No
- +$226Indiana Fever vs. Toronto TempoSports · Indiana Fever
Top 5 losing markets
- -$540Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?Politics · No
- -$406Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?Politics · No
- -$286Will Trump Mobile release a phone by June 30, 2026?Politics · No / Yes
- -$280Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during Wisconsin events?Politics · No
- -$200Will Trump say "Nasty" during White House Correspondents Dinner?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$4KVerified lifetime PnL
$725Earned off the board
60Days on board
$3KBoard-day sum
-$3037-day PnL
$14330-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05 | 6 | $85 |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $333 |
| 2026-07 | 14 | $1K |
| 2026-08 | 16 | $443 |
| 2026-09 | 13 | $747 |
| 2026-10 | 1 | $152 |
Which boards
Mentions 59Sports 2Finance 2Politics 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
7% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $8 (76% maker / 24% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
aggressive (taker)
Passive ratio7%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-25
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$8
Maker rebate$6
Taker rebate$2
Maker share76%
Taker share24%
Window2026-07-09 → 2026-09-24
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$3K
Verified lifetime PnL$4K
Verification gap$725
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)