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Is KingZeManel really profitable on Polymarket?
0x7bff96579b20fe3530e140d6a3c223c9f2127cd6
Short answer
No, not on a lifetime basis. KingZeManel made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 60 days (2026-04-25 to 2026-10-30), adding up to $5K on those days, yet verified lifetime PnL is -$5K. The winning days are real; the losing days are simply never on the board. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week +$792, last month -$5K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 14% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 14%Verified PnL#531 of 624
Beats 14%30-day PnL#509 of 594
Beats 98%Win rate#12 of 592
Beats 17%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#512 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board60
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-04-25
Last seen2026-10-30
VerdictNet negative
At a glance
-$5K
Verified lifetime PnL
$12.62MVolume
98.8%Win rate (sample) · n=399
-0.05%PnL ÷ Volume
$7927-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
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Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)−$4,912
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $9only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$2,105partial
Liquidity rewards$1,467
-0.04% ROI80.7% Win rate · n=488
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$5,987 · loses the most in Weather -$27.2K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$3,537Will Biden finish his term?Politics · Yes
- +$2,281Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?Politics · No
- +$1,876Will Jake Paul fight Canelo Alvarez next?Sports · No
- +$1,317Xi Jinping out in 2025?Politics · No
- +$1,179Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Politics · Yes
Top 5 losing markets
- -$7,540Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?Politics · No
- -$5,982Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 15?Weather · No / Yes
- -$5,344Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15?Weather · Yes / No
- -$3,444Will the highest temperature in London be between 76-77°F on May 12?Weather · No
- -$3,413US strikes Nigeria by December 31?Politics · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
-$5KVerified lifetime PnL
$10KBelow board-day sum
60Days on board
$5KBoard-day sum
$7927-day PnL
-$5K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04 | 3 | $528 |
| 2026-05 | 6 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 10 | $288 |
| 2026-07 | 17 | $897 |
| 2026-08 | 11 | $770 |
| 2026-09 | 9 | $350 |
| 2026-10 | 4 | $967 |
Which boards
Mentions 50Weather 6Sports 4Politics 2
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
85% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $2K (100% maker / 0% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
mostly passive
Passive ratio85%
Fills measured500
Window ends2026-09-28
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$2K
Maker rebate$2K
Taker rebate$10
Maker share100%
Taker share0%
Window2026-04-01 → 2026-10-20
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Net negative
Board-day sum$5K
Verified lifetime PnL-$5K
Verification gap-$10K
Trade on Polymarket
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)