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← All boardsIs DREAMBIG. really profitable on Polymarket?
0x9e8ecc4cb3c4e48f544cba2fbbb252a6a65e8db8
Short answer
Mostly yes. DREAMBIG. made Polymarket's daily leaderboard on 91 days (2026-03-20 to 2026-09-21), adding up to $20K on those days. Their verified lifetime PnL is +$146K, at least as much as the board days imply, so the leaderboard is not hiding a pile of losing days. Recent windows from Polymarket: last week -$562, last month -$4K.
All figures are Polymarket's own numbers (after trading fees), read from public APIs. How the verification works · All verified wallets
Read more: Is the Polymarket leaderboard accurate? · How to check a wallet's real PnL · Top Mentions traders by verified PnL · Weekly reports · Methodology
Site-wide rank
Verified PnL beats 66% of the 624 wallets ProbPocket tracks.
Beats 66%Verified PnL#210 of 624
Beats 16%30-day PnL#498 of 594
Beats 69%Win rate#180 of 592
Beats 96%Return (PnL ÷ volume)#24 of 620
Compared with the 624 wallets that appeared on the daily Polymarket boards ProbPocket archives. Win rate needs ≥20 settled positions; return needs ≥$10,000 volume.
Days on board91
Archive span203 days
First seen2026-03-20
Last seen2026-09-21
VerdictHolds up
At a glance
$146K
Verified lifetime PnL
$1.97MVolume
74.1%Win rate (sample) · n=394
7.52%PnL ÷ Volume
-$5627-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Curve: summed PnL on archived board days.
Win rate from the most recent closed-positions sample the API returned; large books may be incomplete.
Loading official book…
Loading how it makes money…
Real PnL, line by line Stored copy · data as of 2026-11-01
Net PnL (official, fees already deducted)+$146.1K
For reference — already inside the official figure (fees deducted, rebates and rewards included), so not added or subtracted again
Trading fees paid≥ $164only the fills we could read — a floor
Rebates (maker + taker)$841partial
Liquidity rewards$20.3K
7.43% ROI56.8% Win rate · n=514
Polymarket’s figure already has fees taken out; the lines below show where the money went. Not advice.
What it trades and where the money comes from
Realized PnL by market category, plus the five markets this wallet made and lost the most on.
Makes the most in Politics +$45.5K
Top 5 winning markets
- +$7,230Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Team USA reception?Politics · No
- +$5,221Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Sports · Yes
- +$3,839Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports · Yes
- +$2,281ChatGPT Outage by April 3?Tech & science · Yes
- +$2,274Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?Politics · No
Top 5 losing markets
- -$2,250Will Trump's remarks not air?Sports · Yes
- -$2,155Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Sports · No
- -$2,122Will Trump say "Bad Bunny" or "Crypto" during Inter Miami events on Thursday?Sports · Yes / No
- -$1,685Will the announcers say "History" during the New Zealand vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Sports · No
- -$1,562Will the announcers say "Qatar" during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?Sports · No
Covers the 400 closed positions with the largest gains and losses (the API pages by size); smaller positions are left out. Realized PnL of settled positions only; open positions are not counted. Data as of 2026-11-01
$146KVerified lifetime PnL
$126KEarned off the board
91Days on board
$20KBoard-day sum
-$5627-day PnL
-$4K30-day PnL
Month by month
| Month | Days on a board | Summed PnL |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03 | 4 | $3K |
| 2026-04 | 4 | $3K |
| 2026-05 | 12 | $1K |
| 2026-06 | 20 | $8K |
| 2026-07 | 22 | $3K |
| 2026-08 | 18 | $1K |
| 2026-09 | 11 | $328 |
Which boards
Mentions 69Culture 17Sports 12Tech 11Finance 10Politics 7Weather 1
Method breakdown
Execution styleopen
Visible rebatesopen
Profit compositionnot measured yet
Measured layers
92% passive fills in the recent window; visible rebate $841 (87% maker / 13% taker)
Compare with another wallet
Curves, categories and core numbers side by side.
Execution style
passive (market maker)
Passive ratio92%
Fills measured497
Window ends2026-09-18
Window scopeMost recent
Visible rebates
Maker-rebate heavy
Visible rebate total$841
Maker rebate$733
Taker rebate$108
Maker share87%
Taker share13%
Window2026-04-17 → 2026-10-10
Profit composition
No same-window profit composition for this address yet. When measured, this layer uses the official activity feed (trade cash vs rebate) — not a guess from lifetime PnL.
Verification check
Holds up
Board-day sum$20K
Verified lifetime PnL$146K
Verification gap$126K
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Generated 2026-11-01 · archive 2026-03-19 → 2026-11-01 (203 snapshots)